Latest Coverage
See all articles
New Mexico: And The Winner Is
Democrat Ben Ray Luján has been elected to retain the New Mexico U.S. Senate seat, receiving 455,165 votes to Republican challenger Larry E. Marker who recorded 265,557 as of Nov. 4.
The final polling average, aggregated by Legis1 as of November 2, showed Luján at 56.1 percent and Larry Marker at 37.7 percent, a margin of 18.4 points. Prediction markets on Kalshi placed Luján's probability of winning at 97.92 percent as of November 3, based on $164,910 in trading volume.
The Democratic primary, certified on June 2, drew 216,649 total votes across two candidates; Luján advanced as the nominee. The Republican primary, also certified June 2, drew 2,351 total votes, all cast for Marker, who ran unopposed; the Democratic primary drew approximately 92 times as many votes.
Luján raised $9,111,370.87 against Republican Larry Marker's $99,229.65, a fundraising gap of approximately 91.8 times, in a race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections.
Luján disbursed $6,347,417.97 from his campaign and closed the race with $2,843,276.35 in cash on hand, as of the money data cutoff of November 2, 2026. Marker disbursed $90,122.32 and finished with $88.07 in cash on hand.
Confirmed outside independent expenditures in support of Luján totaled $1,382.88 as of November 4, 2026, with an additional $274,429.28 in pending notices, bringing the total with pending to $275,812.16.
The top outside spenders on record for the race:
Luján first took office in 2009, giving him approximately 17 years of congressional service as of 2026; his Senate service began in 2021.
Congress.gov records at least five bills Luján sponsored in the 119th Congress, including the CARE Act of 2026.
Luján's committee assignments for the 119th Congress include the Finance Committee, the Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee, the Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Committee, the Indian Affairs Committee, and the Budget Committee. He serves as ranking member of the Agriculture Subcommittee on Food and Nutrition, Specialty Crops, Organics, and Research and of the Commerce Subcommittee on Telecommunications and Media.
New Mexico's canvass and certification process will determine the official margin, as outlined on the New Mexico Secretary of State's home page.
Access the Legis1 platform for comprehensive political news, data, and insights.
Spot something wrong? Report an issue with this article
Have a question about this article? Contact [email protected].
Learn more about Legis1’s editorial process.