Haley Stevens

Former Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) holds a slim lead in hypothetical matchups against Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Mich.) and Michigan state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (D) in the state’s Senate race, according to a recent survey.

The poll, conducted by the Glengariff Group, found that 43.8 percent of 600 likely general election voters in the Wolverine State backed Rogers in a matchup against Stevens, who received 41.5 percent support. In a potential Rogers-McMorrow race, 42.8 percent of respondents supported the former lawmaker while 40.7 percent backed the state senator.

In both matchups, more than 14 percent of voters were undecided, the poll found.

While Rogers had a lead of 2.3 percent over Stevens and 2.1 percent over McMorrow, both results were within the 4-point margin of error.

Against Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, the former director of the Wayne County Department of Health, Human and Veterans Services, Rogers leads 44.7 percent to 39.8, with 15.5 percent of respondents undecided.

Alyssa Brouillet, a spokeswoman for the Rogers campaign, said that the latest polling shows that the Republican “continues to command the field with his campaign to Get Michigan Working Again.”

Brouillet added, “After 32 years of Democrat failures in our state, Michiganders are making clear that if they want the outcomes to change, our representation has to. Mike Rogers will fix everything the Democrats broke — from restoring job opportunities, to getting kids reading again, and making life more affordable.”

The four candidates are running to succeed two-term Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.), who announced earlier this year that he would not run for reelection in November.

Rogers is the clear frontrunner in the GOP primary, while El-Sayed, McMorrow and Stevens are locked in a competitive primary on the Democratic side.

An Emerson College Polling/WOOD-TV survey from last month found that 24 percent of 519 likely Democratic primary voters each supported El-Sayed, backed by progressive Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and McMorrow, backed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.).

Meanwhile, 13 percent of respondents supported Stevens, backed by former Michigan Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) and 36 percent of respondents were undecided.

As of the end of March, the campaigns of El-Sayed, McMorrow and Stevens each had more than $2.5 million, $3.6 million and $3.3 million on hand, respectively, according to the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Rogers’s campaign had more than $4.2 million on hand as of the end of March, according to the FEC.

All four candidates have appealed to blue-collar workers in Michigan, which ranked fourth as of March in total manufacturing jobs among all states, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

On Tuesday, Rogers unveiled a new ad on manufacturing.

“Let’s put shop class back in every high school and train our kids for real jobs. Jobs AI can’t eliminate, jobs China can’t steal,” the former lawmaker said in the ad.

All three Democratic candidates are also backing striking nurses at Corewell Health in Southeast Michigan. The nurses are unionized with the Teamsters.

Early voting in the Michigan primary runs from July 25 through Aug. 2, with the final day to cast a ballot falling on Aug. 4.

The latest survey was conducted via phone interviews from April 28 through May 1 among the 600 participants. The margin of error was 4 percentage points.

This story was updated at 5:55 p.m.

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