Max Miller

The deadline for U.S. Rep. Max Miller to take his name off the November ballot is Aug. 10, but it’s too late for Republican leaders to replace him.

Miller would have had to have withdrawn by Aug. 8 to give Republican leaders time to name a replacement.

More: Rep. Max Miller’s abuse allegations could flip GOP House seat in Ohio

Miller, mired in a scandal involving domestic violence allegations, has defied growing calls by fellow GOP lawmakers to step aside so another Republican with a better chance of winning can take his place Nov. 3. Miller, who steadfastly denies the allegations against him, doubled down late last week, vowing to spend $1 million of his own money on his campaign, The Wall Street Journal reported.

The 7th District in Ohio has been reliably red in recent years.

But Miller’s chances of winning amid the scandal have plummeted, according to Kalshi, the country's first federally regulated financial exchange and prediction market.

As of Aug. 10, Kalshi gave Miller only a 26% chance of winning his re-election bid against Democrat Brian Poindexter.

That’s a tremendous reversal. As recently as July, Kalshi gave Miller a 64% chance of winning another term.

The allegations that have rocked the race emerged in court records filed as part of Miller’s divorce from Emily Moreno, the daughter of Ohio Sen. Bernie Moreno, who is also a Republican.

Emily Moreno has accused her former husband of throwing her against a wall, dousing her in hot water and pointing a gun at her while she was changing their daughter's diaper.

Separately, the couple’s daughter suffered a broken collarbone. It remains unclear how the girl sustained the injury. Cuyahoga County Children's Services investigated but did not determine how the child was hurt and whether anyone was involved in causing the injury.

Bernie Moreno didn’t publicly comment about his son-in-law during the divorce and ongoing custody issues, even as local media, including the Akron Beacon Journal, part of the USA TODAY Network, detailed the allegations of abuse against Miller.

But when the national news picked up the story in early August, Moreno said his former son-in-law should resign.

Moreno also lobbed a new allegation against Miller. He accused the Congressman of holding "hostage" his granddaughter’s blue bunny even though Miller knew the toddler was crying and unable to sleep without the stuffed animal she carries everywhere.

Max Miller faces abuse allegations from 3 females

Emily Moreno isn't the first woman or girl to accuse Miller of abuse.

When Miller was a student at Shaker Heights High School, a classmate said she rebuffed Miller's sexual advances and he pushed her out of a room and down a set of stairs, Mother Jones reported this month. The woman, who was not named, told the magazine that the incident, which happened around 2007, remains one of the most traumatic nights of her life.

Former Trump spokeswoman Stephanie Grisham, who met Miller when the two worked at the White House during Trump's first term, has also accused Miller of physically and emotionally abusing her during their relationship.

It is not clear if the three women who have accused Miller of violence know each other or have ever met.

Grisham has since left the GOP. Emily Moreno works for the America First Policy Institute, a MAGA-aligned think tank. Mother Jones did not identify the political affiliation of the woman who said Miller threw her down the stairs as a teenager.