Mike Collins

Poll analyst Daron Shaw told Fox News that he thinks Ossoff is currently “sitting in the Catbird seat,” but that the incumbent’s lead will narrow.

“My hunch is the race will become much more competitive, but Collins has work to do convincing Republicans and independents that he and the president can make things more affordable for rank-and-file Georgians,” Shaw said.

Backed by Trump, Collins has hit Ossoff hard on his record, including bashing Ossoff’s vote against the One Big Beautiful Bill, and has contrasted each of their journeys to get to where they are today. Collins, who started his own trucking company in the Peach State, has pitched the race as the choice between “self-made vs. silver spoon.”

“Jon Ossoff voted for one of the largest spending bills in American history, helping drive up the cost of gas, groceries, and housing for Georgia families,” Collins wrote on X on Wednesday. “Then he voted against the Working Families Tax Cuts, which delivered a tax cut of more than $3,000 for the average Georgian this year. While I’ve delivered results, Jon Ossoff has fought to make your life more expensive and less free at every turn.”

Meanwhile, Ossoff has blended the Democratic 2026 affordability playbook with a staunch foot down against the Trump administration’s policies, showcasing his efforts to cap insulin prices and lower housing costs while in the Senate.

“I never want to hear these two pretend they give a damn about working people again,” Ossoff said of Trump and Collins at a recent rally. “Because while hundreds of thousands of Georgians lose their health care, Mike Collins builds Trump a ballroom. They worked harder burying the Epstein files than they ever worked to lower your grocery bill.”

OSSOFF TARGETS COLLINS’S TRUCKING BUSINESS IN FIRST AD SINCE REPUBLICAN WON GEORGIA PRIMARY

Ossoff is one of the Senate’s most proven fundraisers, with over $32.5 million in cash on hand so far in the 2026 midterm election cycle alone.

According to the Fox News poll, Ossoff holds the strongest lead among Black voters, young voters, young women voters, and independents and moderates, while Collins holds a base of strong evangelical support, support from men without a college education, rural voters, gun owners, and veterans.