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Mark Amodei

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This House race portends a midterms smackdown for the GOP

Daily Kos · July 14, 2026

Less than four months out from the midterms, there are enough canaries flying around Republicans’ proverbial coal mine that it must look like Alfred Hitchcock’s “The Birds” down there.

The latest sign of impending doom for the GOP comes in the form of a new poll in Nevada’s 2nd District.

Released Tuesday, the survey from Wedgewood Polls finds Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson leading Republican David Flippo, 48% to 46%, in the rural district that encompasses the northern half of the Silver State.

Why is that so bad for Republicans? Because President Donald Trump won Nevada’s 2nd District by a whopping 14 percentage points in 2024, according to data from The Downballot.

The district is not even on the list of competitive seats in the major political handicapping outlets. The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the race as “safe” for Republicans.

If Democrats are ahead in a seat like this, then Republicans are in for a brutal election nigh…